Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.326183 0.381814 0.446380 0.527417 0.627192 0.747045 0.903456
2025-07-27 0.251218 0.323761 0.418755 0.554834 0.749110 1.023453 1.453306
2025-08-03 0.206451 0.285180 0.397859 0.576528 0.863850 1.329129 2.188666
2025-08-10 0.173917 0.253152 0.374557 0.583201 0.953223 1.627166 3.072848
2025-08-17 0.150025 0.227756 0.353657 0.585087 1.031638 1.935175 4.166104
2025-08-24 0.131108 0.206070 0.333242 0.580825 1.095178 2.239963 5.470760
2025-08-31 0.115450 0.186816 0.312732 0.570309 1.141491 2.527903 6.971389
2025-09-07 0.106253 0.177050 0.307041 0.586928 1.251924 3.026110 9.602041
2025-09-14 0.095301 0.162401 0.289450 0.574205 1.289156 3.350985 12.013283
2025-09-21 0.087980 0.153395 0.281226 0.579973 1.375345 3.872414 15.977882
2025-09-28 0.081041 0.144146 0.270939 0.578514 1.442174 4.377293 20.747602
2025-10-05 0.076751 0.139501 0.269453 0.597959 1.577393 5.226086 29.375345
2025-10-12 0.072582 0.134689 0.267131 0.615731 1.719299 6.238750 42.318708
2025-10-19 0.068604 0.129797 0.263923 0.630801 1.861851 7.405082 61.474586
2025-10-26 0.065352 0.126030 0.262709 0.651332 2.035682 8.928997 93.389936
2025-11-02 0.061616 0.120752 0.257078 0.657796 2.161805 10.362557 135.747192
2025-11-09 0.058022 0.115376 0.250408 0.659643 2.272559 11.870631 196.451383
2025-11-16 0.054458 0.109682 0.242132 0.654621 2.353813 13.321363 278.616353
2025-11-23 0.050923 0.103694 0.232304 0.642430 2.399056 14.602563 383.483682
2025-11-30 0.049053 0.101400 0.231822 0.661658 2.606970 17.648091 665.740786
2025-12-07 0.045986 0.095954 0.222180 0.646930 2.638305 19.162214 939.474838
2025-12-14 0.043987 0.092899 0.218684 0.653605 2.790195 22.305997 1617.668690
2025-12-21 0.041850 0.089305 0.213228 0.651916 2.897378 25.271362 2723.525869